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The All-Index

The Besties Index

+36.1%
vs the S&P's +22.6% +13.5pp since Jul 26, 2024
5 of 15 beat the S&P — a few big winners carry the average.

If you'd put $1,000 into each of 15 names the besties are still bullish on — at the price the day they called it — you'd have $20,414 today vs $18,391 in the S&P.

0%+94.1%+36.1%+22.6%Jul 26, 2024Jul 10, 2026Besties IndexS&P (SPY)
How the index works Not financial advice.

Public companies

53 tracked, scored vs the market
CompanyStanceSince
SpaceXSPCXBullish-9.7%
MetaMETACommentary
NvidiaNVDABullish+46.3%
PalantirPLTRBullish+366.5%
Cerebras SystemsCBRSCommentary
Micron TechnologyMUBullish+31.1%
AmazonAMZNBullish-0.5%
AppleAAPLBullish+5.0%
CoreWeaveCRWVCommentary
GoogleGOOGLBullish+81.4%
SalesforceCRMCommentary
TeslaTSLABullish-0.8%
SK Hynix000660.KSBullish+9.4% *
Samsung005930.KSBullish-5.2% *
Eli LillyLLYCommentary
BayerBAYRYCommentary
Bloom EnergyBECommentary
AllbirdsBIRDCommentary
Cheniere EnergyLNGBullish-12.9%
FerrariRACECommentary
MicrosoftMSFTCommentary
NetflixNFLXBullish-24.5%
ASMLASMLCommentary
CNN / Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBDCommentary
New York TimesNYTCommentary
MP MaterialsMPCommentary
AMDAMDCommentary
RobinhoodHOODCommentary
Electronic ArtsEACommentary
Unity SoftwareUCommentary
IntelINTCCommentary
AdobeADBEBearish+40.7%
UberUBERCommentary
SnowflakeSNOWCommentary
US SteelXCommentary
BoxBOXCommentary
NewsmaxNMAXCommentary
BoeingBACommentary
Constellation EnergyCEGCommentary
BroadcomAVGOCommentary
AlibabaBABABullish+31.6%
MicroStrategyMSTRCommentary
Trump Media & Technology Group (Truth Social)DJTCommentary
Bank of AmericaBACCommentary
StarbucksSBUXCommentary
ExpediaEXPECommentary
AirbnbABNBCommentary
Palo Alto NetworksPANWCommentary
ChipotleCMGCommentary
CrowdStrikeCRWDCommentary
Fox CorporationFOXACommentary
GameStopGMECommentary
Dell TechnologiesDELLCommentary

Commodities, sectors & macro

13 tracked, priced via ETF proxies · scored in the index alongside the stocks
AssetStanceSince
Natural GasUNGCommentary
OilUSOBearish-51.7%
GoldGLDBullish+48.8%
CopperCPERBullish+3.0%
Enterprise application software (basket)IGVBearish+9.1%
IPO marketIPOBullish+18.9%
Magnificent Seven (basket)MAGSMixed
US TreasuriesIEFBearish+1.3%
BitcoinIBITBullish-4.7%
UraniumURABullish+28.4%
Chinese tech stocks (basket)KWEBBullish-7.4%
Defense primes — Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon (basket)ITABearish-64.9%
Commodities basketDBCBullish+20.6%

Private companies

no public price — tracked by what they said
OpenAIMixed
ChamathGSacksFriedbergJason58 takes
since May 10, 2024
AnthropicBullish
SacksChamathGFriedbergJason46 takes
since Mar 8, 2025
PolymarketBullish
SacksChamathFriedberg5 takes
since Aug 23, 2024
StripeCommentary
ChamathG5 takes
since Jul 19, 2024
PerplexityCommentary
ChamathGSacks4 takes
since May 17, 2024
WizCommentary
ChamathFriedbergSacks4 takes
since Jul 19, 2024
FigmaCommentary
SacksFriedbergChamath3 takes
since Jul 4, 2025
GroqBullish
ChamathG3 takes
since Oct 3, 2024
TetherCommentary
FriedbergJasonChamath3 takes
since Nov 22, 2025
WaymoCommentary
GChamathFriedberg3 takes
since Jan 4, 2025
AI infrastructure / hyperscaler capex basketCommentary
SacksFriedbergChamath3 takes
since Jul 12, 2024
CursorCommentary
ChamathG2 takes
since May 22, 2026
SaaS sectorCommentary
Chamath2 takes
since Jun 21, 2025
Anduril IndustriesCommentary
GChamath2 takes
since Feb 15, 2025
SaaS sector (broad)Commentary
SacksG2 takes
since Feb 7, 2026
SpaceX / xAI mergerCommentary
JasonG2 takes
since Feb 7, 2026
HuaweiBullish
SacksFriedberg2 takes
since Dec 19, 2025
Scale AICommentary
GChamath2 takes
since Jul 11, 2025
US Treasuries / Bond MarketCommentary
ChamathFriedberg2 takes
since May 24, 2025
Large US Pharma / Biotech sectorCommentary
GChamath2 takes
since May 17, 2025
US Treasury Bonds (10-year)Commentary
FriedbergChamath2 takes
since Mar 1, 2025
Venture Capital industryCommentary
SacksChamath2 takes
since Sep 20, 2024
Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI)Commentary
ChamathSacks2 takes
since Jun 29, 2024
GlueBullish
ChamathJason2 takes
since May 17, 2024
Ohalo GeneticsBullish
JasonFriedberg2 takes
since May 17, 2024
Enterprise SaaS sector (low-end / vertical)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since May 15, 2026
Hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since May 1, 2026
Hyperscaler CapEx beneficiaries (capital equipment / infrastructure)Bullish
Chamath1 take
since May 1, 2026
Cursor (Anysphere)Commentary
Jason1 take
since Apr 24, 2026
MedalliaCommentary
Friedberg1 take
since Apr 24, 2026
Enterprise SaaS (broad sector)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Apr 24, 2026
IGV (enterprise software basket)Commentary
G1 take
since Apr 10, 2026
Enterprise software sectorCommentary
Sacks1 take
since Apr 10, 2026
Enterprise SaaS / software sectorCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Apr 3, 2026
High asset, low obsolescence (HALO) businessesCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Apr 3, 2026
Bitcoin / CryptoCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Apr 3, 2026
TAO (Bittensor)Commentary
Jason1 take
since Apr 3, 2026
DatabricksCommentary
G1 take
since Feb 7, 2026
Moonshot AI (Kimi)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Jan 30, 2026
US Electric Utilities (sector)Bearish
Friedberg1 take
since Jan 17, 2026
California Real EstateBearish
Chamath1 take
since Jan 10, 2026
US DollarBearish
Jason1 take
since Jan 10, 2026
Gambling / Prediction Market BasketBullish
Jason1 take
since Jan 10, 2026
Capital Equipment SectorCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Jan 10, 2026
Traditional MediaCommentary
Sacks1 take
since Jan 10, 2026
California Municipal BondsCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Dec 31, 2025
Private Equity (broad sector)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Oct 3, 2025
Silver LakeCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Oct 3, 2025
AI vertical/SLM applications (basket)Commentary
Sacks1 take
since Aug 22, 2025
xAI / Apple partnershipCommentary
G1 take
since Jul 19, 2025
S&P 500 / Broad Equities (levered long)Bullish
Chamath1 take
since Jun 28, 2025
New York City real estateCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Jun 28, 2025
Broad equity market / S&P 500Commentary
Sacks1 take
since Jun 28, 2025
Broad equity market / Mag 7 vs S&P 493Commentary
Friedberg1 take
since Jun 28, 2025
S&P 493 (non-Mag-7 S&P 500)Bearish
Friedberg1 take
since Jun 21, 2025
AWS / Azure / GCP cloud basketCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Jun 21, 2025
Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBM sector)Commentary
Friedberg1 take
since May 17, 2025
New Mag 7 / Future Leaders BasketBullish
G1 take
since May 9, 2025
Venture Capital (asset class)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since May 9, 2025
Credit Default Swaps (CDS / corporate credit protection)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Apr 5, 2025
Enterprise SaaS / Software Industrial ComplexCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Mar 29, 2025
NianticCommentary
G1 take
since Mar 22, 2025
Magnificent Seven / Mag 7Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Mar 8, 2025
Cognition / DevinBullish
G1 take
since Mar 8, 2025
Magnificent SevenCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Mar 1, 2025
S&P 500 Index (broad equities)Commentary
Friedberg1 take
since Mar 1, 2025
FigureCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Mar 1, 2025
Application layer / AI softwareCommentary
Jason1 take
since Jan 31, 2025
ByteDance / TikTokBullish
G1 take
since Jan 25, 2025
TikTok (ByteDance US asset)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Jan 25, 2025
Stablecoins (US dollar-backed)Bullish
Chamath1 take
since Jan 25, 2025
TikTok / ByteDanceCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Jan 18, 2025
Government service providers (basket)Bearish
G1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
High-bandwidth memory — SK Hynix, Micron (basket)Bullish
G1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
CDS / credit protection (macro)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
Traditional auto OEMs (basket)Bearish
Chamath1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
Dollar-denominated stablecoins (macro/sector)Bullish
Chamath1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
ZiplineBullish
G1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
UnitreeCommentary
Friedberg1 take
since Jan 4, 2025
AndurilCommentary
G1 take
since Dec 7, 2024
Crypto / fintech sector (deregulation beneficiaries)Commentary
Friedberg1 take
since Nov 16, 2024
Crypto sector (FIT21 / regulatory clarity)Commentary
Sacks1 take
since Nov 16, 2024
Florida Coastal Real EstateCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Oct 11, 2024
Miami Real Estate (Sacks exit)Commentary
Sacks1 take
since Oct 11, 2024
Cost Plus DrugsBullish
G1 take
since Oct 3, 2024
AI Customer Support / Call Center DisruptionCommentary
Sacks1 take
since Sep 20, 2024
AdyenCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Sep 6, 2024
Pershing Square Capital ManagementCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Aug 2, 2024
Magnificent Seven / Mega-cap AI stocksCommentary
Chamath1 take
since Jul 12, 2024
Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE)Commentary
Chamath1 take
since Jun 7, 2024
Argentina ADR basketCommentary
Sacks1 take
since May 17, 2024
Athena (AthenaWow)Bullish
Jason1 take
since May 17, 2024
AI content rights marketplace (unnamed)Bullish
Sacks1 take
since May 17, 2024

Built from 102 episodes · 159 companies · 588 theses · updated Jul 13, 2026.