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Figma

privateBullish

Offers a cloud-based collaborative interface design and prototyping platform for product and UX teams.figma.com

2 takes · first discussed Jul 4, 2025

Net conviction
Bullish
Who's weighed in
FriedbergChamath
Takes
2
First discussed
Jul 4, 2025

Private company — no public price to score. We track what they said; valuation-mark tracking is on the roadmap.

The discussion

The hosts are broadly positive on Figma's near-term fundamentals but share a common concern about longer-term AI disruption. Friedberg is the more outright bull, pointing to 40%+ revenue growth, a 43% operating cash flow margin, $95M of free cash flow in Q1, and 130% net revenue retention as evidence that the land-and-expand model is durable and proven. Chamath agrees the current metrics are impressive but is more guarded about years 3–5, questioning how much foundational AI models will eventually absorb Figma's core use case and whether that uncertainty undermines the investment thesis for institutional buyers. Both hosts acknowledge the AI obsolescence risk; where they diverge is in conviction, with Chamath preferring a long Figma / short Adobe spread as a hedged expression of the trade rather than a direct long.

How they got there

ChamathChamath1 take since Jul 4, 2025
MixedE234Jul 4, 2025📌 position call

Chamath sees Figma as a phenomenal business on current metrics but is cautious about years 3-5 given the unknown of how much foundational AI models will absorb into what they do, suggesting a long Figma / short Adobe spread as the safer trade.

On the surface, in the absence of these AI businesses, I would say, man, what a gangbusters business growing by 40-something percent a year at this scale... The question that I think the institutional investor will have is, what am I1:13:03
FriedbergFriedberg1 take since Jul 4, 2025
BullishE234Jul 4, 2025

Friedberg is bullish on Figma's proven land-and-expand model, citing 40%+ revenue growth, 43% operating cash flow margin, and 130% net revenue retention, while acknowledging the longer-term risk of AI obsolescence.

They ran a 43% operating cash flow margin in Q1. So in Q1 of this year, Figma generated $95 million of free cash flow. They've got net revenue retention of like 130%. So this land and expand is proven out and there's real durability.1:15:49
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.