The Besties Index
Every name the besties are still bullish on — stocks directly, commodities and sectors via a liquid ETF proxy — equal-weighted, bought at the price the day they called it and held to today, measured against the S&P over the same stretch. Looking for the ones they've turned bearish on? Those live in the Bear Book.
- Positions
- 15
- Inception
- Jul 26, 2024
- Hit rate
- 5/15 beat S&P
- Median call
- +5.0%
- Invested
- $15,000
- Value
- $20,414
Positions
15 longs · tap a column to sort| # | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PalantirPLTR | +366.5% | +327.8pp |
| 2 | GoogleGOOGL | +81.4% | +54.6pp |
| 3 | GoldGLD | +48.8% | +18.4pp |
| 4 | IPO marketIPO | +18.9% | +10.3pp |
| 5 | AppleAAPL | +5.0% | +2.9pp |
| 6 | UraniumURA | +28.4% | -0.7pp |
| 7 | CopperCPER | +3.0% | -5.6pp |
| 8 | Magnificent Seven (basket)MAGS | +19.4% | -7.4pp |
| 9 | AmazonAMZN | -0.5% | -9.1pp |
| 10 | Commodities basketDBC | +20.6% | -9.7pp |
| 11 | TeslaTSLA | -0.8% | -27.6pp |
| 12 | Cheniere EnergyLNG | -12.9% | -31.9pp |
| 13 | Chinese tech stocks (basket)KWEB | -7.4% | -34.2pp |
| 14 | BitcoinIBIT | -4.7% | -35.1pp |
| 15 | NetflixNFLX | -24.5% | -50.5pp |
Bullish, but outside the index · 11
Names they're bullish on that don't map to one public stock you could hold — private companies, crypto, broad bets. We still track them; they just can't sit in the index.
No public stock to buy yet — we still track every call.
Broad or multi-name bets with no single ticker to hold.
The Guesties Index 🎤
Same scoreboard, but for the guests — every bullish call made by someone the besties brought on the show. How do the invited experts stack up?
Includes non-USD listings (SK Hynix, Samsung) measured in local currency against the USD S&P — not FX-adjusted, so those returns aren't strictly comparable.
Guest leaderboard
Named guests with 2+ scored public calls, ranked by how those calls have played out. Each call is scored as if you'd followed it— long a bull, an inverse-sized stake on a bear (capped at −100%) — versus simply buying the S&P over the same window.
| 1Thomas Laffont | 2 | +32.9% |
| 2Brad Gerstner | 3 | +6.4% |
| 3Gavin Baker | 2 | -0.3% |
The Bear Book 🐻
The flip side of the index: every name the besties have turned bearish on as a real call. Each one is scored as if you'd shorted it the day they made the call.
- Bear calls
- 6
- Hit rate
- 33%
- 2 right · 3 wrong
- Avg stock move since call
- +14.2%
- Shorting them all
- -14.2%
| Defense primes — Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon (basket)ITA | +64.9% | -64.9% | ✗ wrong |
| OilUSO | +51.7% | -51.7% | ✗ wrong |
| Magnificent Seven (basket)MAGS | +19.4% | -19.4% | ✗ wrong |
| US TreasuriesIEF | -1.3% | +1.3% | · early |
| Enterprise application software (basket)IGV | -9.1% | +9.1% | ✓ right |
| AdobeADBE | -40.7% | +40.7% | ✓ right |
Price-only, no borrow costs or margin mechanics — a scoreboard, not a strategy. Bear calls are never part of the long index above.
Methodology
- The index holds one spot for every name a bestie is currently bullish on as a real call — a company directly, or a commodity/sector tracked through a liquid ETF proxy (copper → CPER, defense → ITA). Names they've turned bearish on sit in the Bear Book instead; names they only talked about don't count.
- A call means they actually took a side and committed to it — "I'm long it," "my #1 pick," "I'd short this." Sounding bullish or bearish in passing is commentary: it shows up on the company's page, but it never moves the index.
- We hold each name from the day of the call until they back off it — an exit, or a flip the other way — then it leaves the index.
- A company's page keeps everything ever said about it, calls and commentary alike; a host's page shows just the calls behind their score.
- Equal weight: $1,000 into each name at the closing price the day the call was made, held to today.
- The benchmark (SPY) gets the same dollars on the same days, so the only thing being measured is their stock picking. We also run the tougher, tech-heavy QQQ — so you don't have to ask.
- ETFs, broad-market and macro bets, private companies, and crypto are tracked when useful but kept out of the public-stock index.
- Episode scorecards and "follow their calls" returns use ~weekly price history — directionally solid, not penny-accurate; the index and host funds use full daily closes.
- Returns are price-only — no dividends, no trading costs — and this is not investment advice.
- As of Jul 13, 2026.