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Netflix

NFLXBearish

Operates a global subscription streaming service offering movies, TV series, and original content.Yahoo Finance ↗netflix.com

3 takes · first discussed Jan 25, 2025 · last Jan 10, 2026

Stock since first call
-16.4%
$97.19$81.28
Current call
Bearish-6.9%
since Jan 10, 2026✓ right so far· stance 152d old
anchored Jan 25, 2025 · as of Jun 11, 2026

The tape vs. the takes

Every call, plotted at the price the day they made it.

$128.49$76.87JJason — bull — Jan 25, 2025SSacks — neutral — Dec 13, 2025SSacks — bear — Jan 10, 2026Jan 27, 2025Jun 11, 2026
letter = host · click for the quote

The discussion

The hosts hold a mixed view on Netflix, with cautious optimism tempered by structural concerns. Jason is modestly bullish as a shareholder, pointing to strong subscriber growth and execution as proof the strategy is working, though he acknowledges limited visibility into the specifics. Sacks is more conflicted: he recognizes Netflix as the dominant force in streaming — the "800-pound gorilla" with the largest market cap and subscriber base — but has turned bearish absent a Warner Bros. acquisition, arguing that Netflix faces content commoditization, a shrinking library due to unfavorable creator deal terms (cost-plus-10%), and growing competition from independent creators on platforms like YouTube. Sacks also notes that Netflix's market dominance makes any major merger attempt, such as with Warner Bros., more likely to attract serious antitrust scrutiny than a deal involving smaller players.

How they got there

JasonJason1 take since Jan 25, 2025
BullishE212Jan 25, 2025📌 position call

Jason notes he is a shareholder and is delighted with Netflix's execution, pointing to strong subscriber growth and a rising stock price as evidence the strategy is working.

I am a shareholder and I am delighted. I don't know what's going on over there, but they seem to be getting their subs right… there's some strategy that's working over there.1:36:23
SacksSacks2 takes since Dec 13, 2025
BearishE257Jan 10, 2026📌 position call

Sacks is bearish on Netflix unless it closes the Warner Brothers deal, citing commoditization of streaming content, shrinking content library due to creator economics (cost-plus-10% deals), and competition from independent creators on YouTube and other platforms.

It would be Netflix if they don't close the Warner Brothers deal. I do think Netflix's service is being challenged from all sides with deep content libraries... people would prefer not to work with Netflix. They only pay creators cost plus1:12:41
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.