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Adobe

ADBEBearish

Software company providing creative, marketing, and document management tools and cloud platforms.Yahoo Finance ↗adobe.com

1 take · first discussed Jul 4, 2025

Since their bearish call
+40.7%
$376.93$223.64 · since Jul 7, 2025· stance 373d old
Stock -40.7% since first discussed Jul 4, 2025
since first discussed · 1yr

How the calls played out

Click a call to see the price move since it aired.

prices through Jul 13, 2026
0%$376.93$195.16Chamath on ADBE · -40.7% since Jul 4, 2025-40.7%Jul 7, 2025Jul 10, 2026
click a chip for the quote + move since call

The discussion

The only host view provided is bearish: Chamath holds a medium-conviction short position on Adobe, treating it as a hedge against a long Figma exposure. His core argument is that if AI disrupts the design software market, Adobe will suffer valuation compression faster and more severely than Figma, making the spread between the two names the trade. No other hosts weigh in, so there is no agreement or disagreement to note beyond Chamath's standalone thesis.

How they got there

ChamathChamath1 mention since Jul 4, 2025
NegativeE234Jul 4, 2025

Chamath argues Adobe will face faster valuation compression than Figma in an AI-disruption scenario, making it the short leg of a Figma/Adobe pair trade.

The person who's going to take a retrade on valuation faster than Figma will be Adobe. And so you'll be hedged and you'll probably make money that way.1:16:51
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.