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Meta

METACommentary

Operates social media platforms Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp; develops AR/VR hardware.Yahoo Finance ↗meta.com

20 takes · first discussed Sep 27, 2024 · last Jul 11, 2026 · 1 stance reversal

Where they land
Commentary
Who's weighed in
ChamathGJasonSacks
Takes
20
First discussed
Sep 27, 2024

Commentary only — they've discussed this name but haven't made a call on it, so we don't attribute any call return to it. The stock's price chart and the takes are below.

How the stock has moved

The price since they started discussing it. Click a mention to see where it stood — these are comments, not calls.

prices through Jul 13, 2026
0%$765.87$521.523 comments near Sep 27, 20242 comments near Dec 20, 2024Chamath on META · commentary Jan 31, 20254 comments near Jun 21, 20254 comments near Oct 3, 20255 comments near Mar 27, 2026Chamath on META · commentary Jul 11, 2026+18.0%Sep 27, 2024Jul 10, 2026
click a chip for the quote + move since comment

The discussion

The hosts hold a broadly constructive but increasingly complicated view of Meta across the covered period. There is wide agreement — from Sacks, Chamath, and guests including Mark Cuban, Aaron Levie, Thomas LaFont, and Gavin Baker — that Meta's open-source AI strategy (Llama), its massive compute infrastructure, its billions of daily active users, and its strong core advertising business give it genuine structural advantages; Baker specifically points to a blowout revenue quarter as evidence AI is already generating real returns. However, the consensus has grown more cautious over time: Sacks and Chamath both note that the LLaMA 4 release was widely seen as disappointing and that Meta may be retreating from open source entirely — which Chamath explicitly calls a major strategic fumble — while Keith (guest) goes further, arguing Meta has missed the AI frontier boat entirely and needs to rebuild its AI team from scratch, a view partially echoed by Brad Gerstner's characterization of a recent earnings report as "terrible." Additional headwinds flagged include Chamath's warning of a compounding litigation wave from Section 230 verdicts and his admission that Meta still lacks the infrastructure/compute "secrets" held by rivals like OpenAI, Google, and DeepSeek, even as he credits Zuckerberg's aggressive moves to acquire training and application expertise — and his later pivot to an aggressive AI price-war strategy via MuseSpark — as steps in the right direction.

How they got there

ChamathChamath10 mentions since Sep 27, 2024
10 mentions total
’26
NeutralE276Jun 13, 2026

Chamath argues Meta fumbled its open-source LLaMA strategy by failing to deliver a truly competitive open-source model, missing a major opportunity to commoditize the AI market and undercut closed competitors.

Meta really fumbled this with LLaMA. I mean, if they had landed a really good— Big time. Working open source model... What a fumble.23:15
JasonJason1 mention since Oct 17, 2025
NeutralE247Oct 17, 2025

Jason points to Meta's headcount declining from a peak of 86,000 to 75,000 as evidence that AI deployment at scale is structurally reducing employment at leading tech companies.

Meta peaked at 86,000 employees, now at 75,000.1:13:01
SacksSacks2 mentions since Sep 27, 2024
’25
NeutralE245Oct 3, 2025

Sacks notes that Meta's LLaMA 4 open-source release was considered disappointing and that Meta may be backing away from open source entirely to go proprietary, weakening the US position in open-source AI.

Meta, most notably, has invested billions and billions of dollars in LLaMA, but the release of LLaMA 4, I think, was considered disappointing by a lot of people. And now there's statements by Meta that they might be backing away from open50:11
GGuests7 mentions since Oct 3, 2024
7 mentions total
’25
’26
Brad GerstnerNeutralE272May 8, 2026

Brad Gerstner highlights Meta trading at 17x fully-taxed GAAP earnings as evidence the market is not in bubble territory and that the stock is reasonably valued.

Meta's trading at 17 times fully taxed GAAP earnings. NVIDIA at 19 times, Microsoft at 20 times, Google at 24 times.1:02:12
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.