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E247Oct 17, 2025

Trump: Send National Guard to SF, China Rare Earths Trade War, AI's PR Crisis

Takes
4
Companies
3
Who weighed in
ChamathJasonFriedberg
4 neutral
MP MaterialsMP-35.4% over 8mo
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath argues that public-private partnerships anchored by the US government acting as buyer of record for rare earths — like MP's deal with GM and the US government — are the only practical way to compete with Chinese mercantilism and protect domestic rare earth producers from Chinese price dumping.

Why is the federal government stepping in to create what is essentially a last resort buyer of record? It is so critical in these markets because the US balance sheet is the only one that can create a strategic reserve around these inputs
FriedbergFriedbergCommentary

Friedberg highlights MP Materials as the key US rare earth mining asset (Mountain Pass mine) that has secured a government deal to revitalize domestic production, positioning it as a beneficiary of US efforts to reshore rare earth supply chains.

The asset, the Mountain Pass mine that Molycorp operated became MP Materials, which Chamath knows well, and did this big deal recently with the US government as they've tried to revitalize production at this mine and increase output.
MetaMETA-6.7% over 8mo
JasonJasonCommentary

Jason points to Meta's headcount declining from a peak of 86,000 to 75,000 as evidence that AI deployment at scale is structurally reducing employment at leading tech companies.

Meta peaked at 86,000 employees, now at 75,000.
GoogleGOOGL+41.0% over 8mo
JasonJasonCommentary

Jason argues that Alphabet's headcount declining from a peak of 190,000 to 187,000 while earnings have surged demonstrates that AI-driven automation is structurally reducing employment at leading tech companies, a trend that will intensify.

If you look at Alphabet, you know, they had peak Googlers in 2022, 190,000, and they've had massive earnings and profits increase and have 187,000 people now. In other words, less.