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Snowflake

SNOWBearish

Provides a cloud-based data warehousing and analytics platform enabling data sharing across organizations.Yahoo Finance ↗snowflake.com

3 takes · first discussed Jun 21, 2025 · last Mar 27, 2026

Stock since first call
+13.3%
$213.71$242.03
Current call
Bearish+13.3%
since Jun 21, 2025✗ wrong so far
anchored Jun 21, 2025 · as of Jun 11, 2026

The tape vs. the takes

Every call, plotted at the price the day they made it.

$269.82$132.24CChamath — bear — Jun 21, 2025CChamath — bear — Mar 27, 2026Jun 23, 2025Jun 11, 2026
letter = host · click for the quote

The discussion

The hosts are divided on Snowflake, with Chamath consistently bearish and guest Brad Gerstner taking a bullish view. Chamath argues on two separate occasions that Snowflake is a cautionary tale: its consumption-based pricing model is structurally flawed because it drives customers toward cheaper alternatives like Postgres and Supabase, and its valuation multiple has already been cut in half from ~100x price-to-FCF as markets begin pricing in AI disruption risk to software cash flows. Gerstner, by contrast, points to Snowflake's re-accelerating growth as evidence that foundational data platform companies — unlike thin-application SaaS vendors — are net beneficiaries of AI adoption. The core disagreement is whether Snowflake's data infrastructure positioning makes it resilient to AI-driven disruption or uniquely vulnerable to it.

How they got there

ChamathChamath2 takes since Jun 21, 2025
’26
BearishE266Mar 27, 2026

Chamath uses Snowflake as a prime example of SaaS re-rating, noting its price-to-free-cash-flow multiple has already been cut in half from near-100x as markets begin pricing in AI disruption risk to software cash flows.

Snowflake in 2023, it would've taken you almost 100 years. And where is it now? It's been cut in half.32:15
GGuests1 take since Feb 7, 2026
BullishE260Feb 7, 2026

Brad Gerstner cites Snowflake's re-accelerating growth as evidence that data platform companies are AI beneficiaries, unlike thin-application SaaS vendors.

Snowflake reaccelerating. ClickHouse reaccelerating. There are beneficiaries in the software space.29:18
iAbout these quotes
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