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Venture Capital (asset class)

privateCommentary

Asset class comprising early-stage equity investments in private startups seeking high-growth returns.

1 take · first discussed May 9, 2025

Where they land
Commentary
Who's weighed in
Chamath
Takes
1
First discussed
May 9, 2025

Private company — no public price to score. We track what they said; valuation-mark tracking is on the roadmap.

The discussion

The only host view supplied comes from Chamath, who holds a high-conviction bearish stance on venture capital as an asset class (as of May 2025). He argues that the prolonged suppression of IPOs combined with blocked M&A activity has choked off the exit pathways that justify VC's illiquidity premium, making expected returns insufficient on a standalone basis. In his view, the only rational framing for continuing to allocate to the asset class is a quasi-philanthropic one rather than a purely financial one. No other hosts' views were provided, so agreement or disagreement across the group cannot be assessed.

How they got there

ChamathChamath1 mention since May 9, 2025
NegativeE227May 9, 2025

Chamath argues that at current course — with IPOs suppressed and M&A blocked — venture capital returns are insufficient to justify the illiquidity premium, making the asset class unjustifiable unless treated almost philanthropically.

I think at current course and speed, with the lack of IPOs and with the lack of M&A, you can't justify that asset class on its own, in my opinion, unless you think about it as something that you're doing almost philanthropically.1:12:36
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.