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E251Nov 14, 2025

Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth

Takes
2
Companies
2
Playing out
0
Going against
1
Who weighed in
Chamath
1 bullish1 neutral
DiscussedMetaPalantir

A call is only graded once it's had time to play out and the stock has moved beyond its normal range — long-term views get a full quarter before we'll say they're tracking against.

MetaMETA+13.6% over 7mo
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath dismisses Burry's depreciation-fraud thesis against hyperscalers like Meta, arguing their business models are too strong to need accounting games and that ongoing kernel/chip innovations drive genuine utilization longevity, making the short ill-founded.

The business models of these companies are just far too good for them to get to the point of having exhausted every other operational tactic that then they have to cook the books. These are not the 7 companies that are going to cook the
PalantirPLTR-18.1% over 7mo
ChamathChamathCommentarytracking against the call

Chamath argues Palantir's premium valuation is justified because it has no viable competitor — enterprises cannot churn to an alternative — making its cash flows uniquely durable compared to peers like Snowflake or MongoDB, so shorting it is a losing trade.

Well, I think the Palantir short is stupid, and I think that those people will lose money… Palantir is both unique and well-run, and there's no clear alternative, so there's no place to churn to. And so I think the reason why it has a premi