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E236Jul 19, 2025

Trump vs Powell, Solving the Debt Crisis, The $10T AGI Prize, GENIUS Act Becomes Law

Takes
5
Companies
4
Playing out
0
Going against
1
Who weighed in
1 bullish4 neutral

A call is only graded once it's had time to play out and the stock has moved beyond its normal range — long-term views get a full quarter before we'll say they're tracking against.

Natural GasUNG-22.5% over 11mo
GGavin BakerCommentary

Guest (Gavin) argues natural gas is critical to closing the domestic energy production gap needed to power AI and compete with China, calling for expansion across all energy sources including natural gas.

natural gas is great, nuclear is great, solar is great, batteries are great. We need it all... If we do not significantly increase kind of domestic energy production and electricity generation, we're already at a disadvantage to China.
SacksSacksCommentary

Sacks highlights Pennsylvania's vast natural gas resources and its role in powering AI data centers, framing natural gas expansion as central to Trump's energy dominance policy and the AI infrastructure boom.

Pennsylvania is, I think it's the number 2 energy-producing state in the US. It has tremendous amounts of natural gas. They feel like they can expand that... we know that these big AI data centers can be powered by either natural gas or
SpaceXSPCX-9.7% over 11mo
GGavin BakerCommentarytracking against the call

Gavin Baker says Grok 4 is the biggest leapfrog seen in quite some time — roughly twice as good as state-of-the-art rivals on ARC-AGI-2 (a semi-private benchmark) and 50-75% better on Humanity's Last Exam — establishing xAI as the current technical leader in AI.

I would say this is the biggest leapfrog we've seen in quite some time... it did roughly twice as good as, you know, the state-of-the-art Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic models. And then on humanity's last exam, you know, we can call it 50
NvidiaNVDA+26.3% over 11mo
GGavin BakerCommentary

Gavin Baker argues that the H20 export license reversal is unambiguously good for America and for NVIDIA, as the H20 keeps China dependent on American chips while preventing Huawei from developing a domestic NVIDIA alternative that could eventually challenge US AI accelerator dominance globally.

it's a smart decision for America to sell this chip that gives America advantage in AI and keeps China from developing kind of their own domestic alternatives, which could eventually kind of challenge, you know, NVIDIA, AMD, you know,
GGavin BakerCommentary

Gavin Baker argues there is strong industrial logic for an Apple-xAI partnership, as Grok 4's technical lead needs Apple's distribution, Apple needs a credible AI provider now that OpenAI is becoming a hardware competitor, and the deal could also help both with their DOJ antitrust exposure.

something that I think makes a lot of sense particularly since OpenAI bought Johnny Ive's hardware startup, which will place them into competition with Apple at some point, is xAI and Apple are natural partners.