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Workday

WDAYBearish

Cloud-based enterprise software provider for human resources, finance, and workforce management.Yahoo Finance ↗workday.com

1 take · first discussed Sep 20, 2024

Stock since first call
-46.8%
$248.29$132.03
Current call
Bearish-46.8%
since Sep 20, 2024✓ right so far· stance 628d old
anchored Sep 20, 2024 · as of Jun 11, 2026

The tape vs. the takes

Every call, plotted at the price the day they made it.

$273.04$121.18CChamath — bear — Sep 20, 2024Sep 20, 2024Jun 11, 2026
letter = host · click for the quote

The discussion

The hosts' collective view on Workday is bearish, represented here solely by Chamath at medium conviction. Chamath argues that AI agents can observe the inputs and outputs of expensive systems-of-record like Workday, effectively reverse-engineering their functionality and rendering them replaceable — he cites Klarna as a real-world example of this dynamic playing out. His thesis holds that once a company builds a sufficiently accurate "digital twin" via AI, the cost justification for incumbents like Workday collapses. No other hosts provided views, so no agreement or disagreement can be noted.

How they got there

ChamathChamath1 take since Sep 20, 2024
BearishE196Sep 20, 2024

Chamath argues that AI agents observing software inputs and outputs can reverse-engineer and replace expensive systems-of-record like Workday, as demonstrated by Klarna, threatening their business model.

over time what the agents start to do is by observing the inputs and the outputs, they start to guess on what the intervening code is... you develop a digital twin and then you run that against that counterfactual against Workday or28:27
iAbout these quotes
Quotes are machine-transcribed from the episode audio — use the Listen links to verify any take against the source, or the ⚑ link to report a problem. Takes marked unverified, low-conviction, or commentary-only never move stances, the index, or the funds.