Sacks believes the 'all SaaS is dead' narrative is overstated for entrenched systems like Salesforce, but sees a real threat that value capture shifts to a new agentic layer on top of existing SaaS, compressing future opportunity for these companies.
I think this like very dire prediction of all SaaS is dead is overstated. However, I do think that there are some issues here... I think the risk for the SaaS companies, it's not that they get replaced, although that'll happen to some degre” ⚑
Gerstner argues that 90% of SaaS stocks deserve to be down because AI is permanently compressing their terminal value multiples — even if revenues remain stable, the available profit pool is shrinking as value migrates to the agentic layer.
90% of them deserve to be down... it's never gonna trade at 30 times free cash flow again. And it's going to trade 17 times free cash flow because its available TAM in the future is now dramatically and permanently changed.” ⚑