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E259Jan 30, 2026

ICE Chaos in Minneapolis, Clawdbot Takeover, Why the Dollar is Dropping

Takes
6
Companies
5
Playing out
1
Going against
0
Who weighed in
ChamathJasonSacksFriedberg
3 bullish3 neutral

A call is only graded once it's had time to play out and the stock has moved beyond its normal range — long-term views get a full quarter before we'll say they're tracking against.

GoldGLD-19.3% over 5mo
FriedbergFriedbergCommentary

Friedberg presents detailed analysis showing gold has eclipsed US Treasuries in central bank holdings and that the stock market is actually down when measured in gold, framing gold as the key store of value amid de-dollarization.

We now see gold eclipsing US Treasury... gold is a larger share of the holdings... if you look at the stock market relative to gold, it's actually down.
JasonJasonCommentary

Jason notes gold has ripped alongside silver and copper while the dollar drops, and that money has poured into gold which has way outperformed the S&P.

The dollar has dropped as gold and silver and copper have ripped... money has poured into gold and silver, which have way outperformed the S&P.
GoogleGOOGL+15.6% over 5mo
SacksSacksCommentarytracking with the call

Sacks argues Google is in a tremendous position to win the personal AI assistant market because it already holds users' email, calendar, and documents — exactly the data needed for a ClaudeBot-style agent — and those users have already trusted Google with that data.

I think Google is in a tremendous position to offer a personal AI assistant that's connected with your email and calendar for those of us who are using G Suite and so on.
TeslaTSLA-4.1% over 5mo
FriedbergFriedbergCommentary

Friedberg highlights Tesla's pivot to Optimus robot production as a transformative move, arguing that physical AI agents (Optimus) combined with digital AI agents represent the future where everyone has a super workforce, and he notes the FSD experience is so compelling that his family bought two more Model Xs.

They're shutting down the Model S, Model X lines to make Optimus. So if you've got the same thing that J-Cal's talking about and experiencing, but you've actually got it in physical form in addition to digital form. That's the future where
CopperCPERbarely moved · 5mo
ChamathChamathCommentarybarely moved since

Chamath touts his copper prediction, noting copper is up 26% in a month and implying it's a winning call he's proud of.

Between this and my copper prediction, I'm about to retire. You know copper's up 26% in a month? Oof. Oofa. What is that as an annualized IRR?
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath argues Kimi K2.5 is a landmark moment for open-source AI — a trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts model with Agent Swarm technology that democratizes reasoning capabilities previously locked behind closed models, and represents a clear shot across the bow of closed-source AI that could cut AI costs by 90%.

I think there is the clear shot across the bow of closed source, and I think open source can win. Why? Yes. Because when KIMI 2.5 is accessible, it democratizes something, this trillion-parameter reasoning that right now you could not other