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E256Dec 31, 2025

Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal

Takes
3
Companies
3
Private calls · not scored
Who weighed in
Chamath
1 bearish2 neutral
NvidiaNVDA+11.6% over 6mo
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath argues NVIDIA's GPU architecture is uniquely dominant for the compute-bound prefill phase of LLM inference and that Jensen Huang is operating at a level of industry insight unmatched by anyone other than Elon Musk, reinforcing NVIDIA's long-term leadership in AI infrastructure.

He is operating at a level of insight about what's happening in this industry that I've really never seen with other folks in other industries other than Elon in his industries. It's a level of mastery and a level of skill that is really
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath, a decade-long backer of Groq, argues its SRAM-based architecture uniquely dominates the memory-bandwidth-constrained decode phase of LLM inference, and the NVIDIA licensing deal validates Groq as a foundational infrastructure layer that will make AI much cheaper and more accessible.

I just think that it wasn't a point product. I think what will happen here is if successful, we will be a foundational layer that NVIDIA can used to, again, make AI much more accessible, much cheaper, much more beneficial to everybody.
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath warns that bond markets will reprice California's fiscal risk as government fraud and pension obligations are exposed, predicting failed Treasury auctions, muni bond collapse, and a death spiral for California's balance sheet that makes its bonds uninvestable.

if risk gets massively repriced, and munis shit the bed, and a bunch of state bonds shit the bed, and a bunch of these issues get broken, these folks will have no choice except to run and hide and cover their ass.