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E226May 2, 2025

Trump's First 100 Days, Tariffs Impact Trade, AI Agents, Amazon Backs Down

Takes
6
Companies
5
Who weighed in
6 neutral
SacksSacksCommentary

Sacks identifies Anthropic's Claude as the current leader in coding assistance, noting that Manus's agent demo significantly relies on Claude for its code assistant functionality, reinforcing Anthropic's dominant position in the most rapidly advancing AI application area.

I think they're the leader, and in fact, I think the Manus demo that we showed...I think they are significantly using Anthropic for the code assistant part of it.
ChamathChamathCommentary

Chamath highlights that Anthropic's Claude is the best model for code generation tasks at his firm, indicating a strong competitive position in that specific high-value use case.

for most of our code gen, we use Anthropic and Claude kicks ass. It's exceptional.
NvidiaNVDA+84.2% over 1yr 2mo
SacksSacksCommentary

Sacks argues that Nvidia's chips are improving roughly 3-4x per generation annually (Hopper → Blackwell → Rubin → Feynman), and combined with exponential growth in GPU deployments in data centers, the CapEx buildout is justified and the compute demand from token-intensive agents will remain massive.

the chips are getting better at, I don't know, 3 to 4x a year...NVIDIA is back to rolling out new chip, new generation of products roughly annually...the CapEx buildout actually makes sense.
AmazonAMZN+29.1% over 1yr 2mo
GRyan PetersonCommentary

Ryan Peterson argues Amazon misplayed the tariff transparency situation, and structurally enables foreign (primarily Chinese) sellers who bypass US registration requirements, disadvantaging American sellers and undermining the platform's long-term competitiveness with domestic brands.

I think that Amazon totally misplayed this...it's 60% of all the sellers on Amazon are these Chinese registered. They're not registered in the United States at all, just Chinese companies.
UberUBER-10.9% over 1yr 2mo
JasonJasonCommentary

Jason views Uber as the anti-tariff stock that is unaffected by the trade war and benefits from the current macro environment, citing a specific price target of $88 as a bullish milestone.

All that matters to me is that Uber is the anti-tariff stock. It just does great. It's not impacted by tariffs.
BoxBOX-7.0% over 1yr 2mo
GGuestCommentary

Aaron Levie (Box CEO) argues AI agents represent a massive TAM expansion for software companies like Box, as AI shifts from per-seat SaaS pricing to capturing labor spend on work that was previously unaffordable or undone, representing a blue-ocean opportunity rather than mere replacement.

when your software actually brings the underlying workflow to the customer or the underlying outcome to the customer...all of a sudden you might be able to sell a multiple of the initial kind of 10 seats that you would've sold previously.