The All-Index
E211Jan 18, 2025

Red-pilled Billionaires, LA Fire Update, Newsom's Price Caps, TikTok Ban, Jobless MBAs

Takes
5
Companies
4
Right so far
3
Wrong so far
0

Directional takes judged by each stock's move since this episode aired.

AlibabaBABA+32.0% since this episode
GGuestBullish📌 position call✓ right so far

Mark Pincus has been actively buying Alibaba and other Chinese names, betting on a US-China rapprochement under Trump.

I've been loading up on Alibaba, a couple Chinese names. Yeah.
FriedbergFriedbergBullish✓ right so far

Friedberg is bullish on Chinese tech stocks including Alibaba, anticipating a grand US-China deal in the first six months of the Trump administration that would ease tariffs and unlock economic value as China negotiates from a position of economic weakness.

I think they want to get a deal done and keep TikTok active in the U.S... this kind of also leads to what I think will be the grand deal with China, which I think will happen in the first 6 months of the Trump administration.
ChamathChamathBullish

Chamath argues X is the ideal acquirer of TikTok's creator graph and video content, seeing a combination of TikTok's content with X's safer American-controlled infrastructure as a significant strategic and value-creating outcome for X.

I was super excited when I saw that there was the potential that X would take over TikTok... if you can take the video content of TikTok and the graph of creators, but have a different app and a different substrate be the delivery
GoogleGOOGL+78.1% since this episode
JasonJasonBullish✓ right so far

Jason highlights Google's Deep Research (Gemini) as a transformative AI product that replicates expensive consulting-firm reports in minutes, signaling strong competitive positioning for Alphabet in AI-enabled knowledge work.

this product is nuts. And they designed it to basically be one of these like million-dollar or $5 million reports you pay for from these consulting firms... it does a better job. It's more accurate. It's done in 5 to 10 minutes.
ChamathChamathMixed

Chamath believes TikTok is a genuine national security threat that should be banned, but sees the asset as technically extraordinary and thinks whoever acquires it at a forced-sale price will get an incredible deal cheaply; he favors X absorbing TikTok's creator graph onto a safer substrate.

whoever gets their hands on it gets their hands on an incredible asset. That they will be able to buy extremely cheaply because there is no way that there is a fair market value here deal for that asset because whoever is the buyer is in