The All-Index
E189Jul 26, 2024

Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

Takes
5
Companies
4
Right so far
2
Wrong so far
0

Directional takes judged by each stock's move since this episode aired.

FriedbergFriedbergBullish

Friedberg argues Wiz could reach Palo Alto Networks-level $100B market cap if it maintains momentum, making the decision to reject Google's $23B offer potentially justified given limited downside.

if Wizz continues to grow at this rate, it's conceivable they could be in the range of a Palo Alto Networks $100 billion market cap in a couple of years... There's not a lot of downside from this offer and certainly seems to be quite a bit
SacksSacksBullish

Sacks argues that at ~50% projected growth to $1B ARR, Google's $23B offer may be reasonable, and Wiz is right to pursue standalone upside as a potentially large independent company.

if Wiz is growing at 100%... they're projecting a billion in ARR next year up from roughly 500. The 23 may be reasonable. So I can see why these guys would just want to go for it if they think they're building a big standalone company.
GoogleGOOGL+110.1% since this episode
FriedbergFriedbergBullish✓ right so far

Friedberg highlights GCP's rapid growth to $10.3B quarterly revenue and $1.2B operating profit, projecting it could generate $20-30B in annual free cash flow at mature margins, making cloud and AI the key value drivers for Alphabet going forward.

if you kind of think about what cloud margin should be over time and kind of call it 20 to 30% margin, this cloud business could be generating $20 to $30 billion a year of free cash flow.
PalantirPLTR+382.3% since this episode
SacksSacksBullish📌 position call✓ right so far

Sacks briefly states he holds shares in Palantir and considers it a good investment.

I have shares in the company. I think it's a good investment.
Fox CorporationFOXA+82.1% since this episode
SacksSacksMixed

Sacks argues Fox has a profitable niche as the sole conservative cable news network but faces a structural market-position problem as its neoconservative editorial stance is misaligned with its increasingly populist audience, which is bad for business regardless of politics.

Fox already has a problem where they are becoming misaligned with their audience. And regardless of what you think of the politics, this is bad for business.