The All-Index
E231Jun 13, 2025

ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, Iran War with Tucker Carlson

Takes
3
Companies
3
Right so far
1
Wrong so far
1

Directional takes judged by each stock's move since this episode aired.

TeslaTSLA+23.9% since this episode
ChamathChamathBullish✓ right so far

Chamath visited Tesla, audited meetings on Dojo and Optimus, was impressed by the talent and Musk's execution, and explicitly told listeners not to sleep on the company as an investment.

I would not be sleeping on this company is what I would say.
ChamathChamathNeutral

Chamath argues the Fed is playing politics rather than following the data, and that a 100bp rate cut is mathematically justified by low inflation and would unlock ~$600B in combined savings and growth benefits for the US economy.

If Jerome Powell stays politicized, his incentive will be to keep interest rates where they are... if we cut by 100 basis points, that's another $300 billion.
American ExpressAXP+10.7% since this episode
ChamathChamathBearish✗ wrong so far

Chamath criticizes American Express for poor customer intelligence and clunky upgrade process, implying the company is losing high-value customers to competitors like Robinhood Gold.

I shat on American Express because I think they're just trash... They said here's a chance for you to apply for the black card. And I was like, this just proves— so insulting.