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E224Apr 19, 2025

Trump vs Harvard, Nvidia export controls, how DEI killed Hollywood with Tim Dillon

Takes
2
Companies
1
Playing out
0
Going against
1
Who weighed in
ChamathSacks
1 bearish1 neutral
DiscussedNvidia

A call is only graded once it's had time to play out and the stock has moved beyond its normal range — long-term views get a full quarter before we'll say they're tracking against.

NvidiaNVDA+117.7% over 1yr 2mo
SacksSacksCommentary

Sacks contextualizes the H20 export ban, noting that memory bandwidth — where the H20 actually exceeds the H100 by 20% — matters more than raw flops in the new AI paradigm, making the chip 'frankly too good' to sell to China; he supports export controls but frames this as a line-drawing question rather than a company-level investment call.

If you look at the memory bandwidth on the H20, it actually has 20% more memory bandwidth than the H100. So I think there's a view that this chip is just frankly too good.
ChamathChamathCommentarytracking against the call

Chamath argues Nvidia has been systematically working around US export controls by designing downgraded chips (A800, H800, H20) to keep selling into China, and that roughly 47% of its revenue flows to China-linked entities — implying the company is acting against US national security interests and faces significant regulatory and revenue risk as controls tighten.

I think we can all do the math. About 47% of all of NVIDIA's revenue goes to China and Chinese-related countries. And I think when you peel back this onion, I think what you will find is a whole raft of companies that were stood up to buy t