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E194Aug 30, 2024

In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Takes
4
Companies
3
Playing out
1
Going against
0
Who weighed in
1 bullish3 neutral

A call is only graded once it's had time to play out and the stock has moved beyond its normal range — long-term views get a full quarter before we'll say they're tracking against.

AppleAAPL+41.8% over 1yr 10mo
SacksSacksCommentary

Sacks argues Apple's App Store practices—mandatory routing, no sideloading, and a 30% take rate—are anti-competitive and should be cracked down on by regulators, posing a risk to Apple's high-margin services business.

Apple, really good example, because they drive everything through the App Store. You're not allowed to do sideloading. They want to take, what is it, 30% piece of any sales.
GReid HoffmanCommentary

Reid Hoffman identifies Apple's App Store as the prime antitrust target among big tech, arguing that mandatory use of the App Store and its payment mechanism quells startup innovation and represents anti-competitive behavior that regulators should address, creating a meaningful legal/regulatory risk to Apple's high-margin services revenue.

the prime candidate is likely to be, and I'm speaking as an individual and as a venture capitalist here, is Apple with the App Store, right?… You have to use App Store. You have to use the payment mechanism… that quells a ton of startup inn
NvidiaNVDA+98.1% over 1yr 10mo
GReid HoffmanCommentarytracking with the call

Reid Hoffman argues NVIDIA's dominant position in training clusters is sustainable for at least two more years, and that while competitive pressure on inference chips will eventually compress margins, he would not recommend being short the stock.

I would recommend people not be short on NVIDIA.
MicrosoftMSFT-5.8% over 1yr 10mo
GReid HoffmanCommentary

Reid Hoffman praises Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella as the best public-market CEO of his generation, highlighting his disciplined approach of balancing strategic AI platform investment with capital returns and revenue targeting, implying a strong forward business trajectory.

I think Satya is like the best public market CEO of our generation. I think he is stunning in kind of blending combination of strategic insight with also kind of being, you know, kind of return on capital, you know, sensible risk-taking.